Just a month ago, Kamala Harris was riding high, boosted by Joe Biden’s sudden exit from the presidential race. Polls showed her leading in key battleground states, and it seemed like the Trump campaign was floundering.
But, oh, how the political winds have shifted. Now, with new polls rolling in, the narrative has taken a sharp turn, and Donald Trump is clawing back lost ground—so much so that he’s even pulled ahead in a few of these polls.
As reported by RedState, the latest Times/Siena survey shows Trump with a one-point lead over Harris. That’s not just any poll, either. Nate Silver has crowned it the best in the business, so it’s no small deal that Trump has edged out ahead nationally. Given the GOP’s built-in advantage with the electoral college, that tiny lead could translate into something much bigger on Election Day.
But here’s where it gets interesting—it’s not just the national numbers tightening up. At the state level, things are starting to look dicey for Harris, especially in Pennsylvania. CNN’s election guru, Harry Enten, sent a warning flare-up earlier this week, pointing out that Harris is at serious risk of losing Pennsylvania, which could cost her the election.
Enten zeroed in on recent polling, showing that the once-consistent Harris lead in Pennsylvania has all but evaporated. Just a month ago, polls showed her ahead by three or four points. But now? It’s a dead heat. In the latest CBS News/YouGov and CNN/SSRS polls, it’s tied.
Enten made it crystal clear that this shift in Pennsylvania isn’t just a fluke—it’s part of a broader trend, with other key swing states also tightening up. The RCP average shows that of the last seven polls, three are tied, three favor Trump, and only one has Harris in the lead—and even that one is an outlier.
Why does Pennsylvania matter so much? John Berman of CNN asked the question, clearly hoping for some alternative routes to victory if Harris fumbles the Keystone State. But Enten wasn’t buying it. He laid out two scenarios, both of which hinge on Pennsylvania’s results. The state’s importance in the electoral map is undeniable, and if Harris loses it, her path to the presidency narrows significantly.
CNN’s Harry Enten Sounds Alarm About Harris’ Vanishing Lead In ‘Very Pivotal’ Swing State pic.twitter.com/Nlk0Hztm7S
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) September 9, 2024
Here’s where things get even more intriguing: Harris passed over Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro in favor of Tim Walz, the current governor of Minnesota, as her running mate. That move raised eyebrows and could go down as one of the biggest missteps of her campaign. Imagine needing Pennsylvania to secure the White House and overlooking the state’s popular governor for someone from a state that’s far from a critical battleground. Not exactly a strategic masterstroke.
Not alpha male material here. pic.twitter.com/TkcOKhrNPP
— Burt Macklin (@BurtMaclin_FBI) September 9, 2024
And then, there’s the upcoming debate. With the race this close, every little moment counts. Any slip-up by Harris or a standout performance from Trump could tip the scales. It’s unusual for debates to be game-changers, but in this ultra-tight race, perception is everything. Trump has a golden opportunity to knock Harris off balance—if he comes prepared and lets her make the mistakes. It could be the pivotal moment that decides the race.
In the end, this isn’t the same rosy picture Harris and her team had a month ago. Pennsylvania is slipping away, Trump is on the rise, and the next few weeks could decide everything. Buckle up—this one’s going to the wire.
